Tennis · W15 Getxo · 02/07, 13:00
Prediction: Cayetana Gay vs Lisa Claeys
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Lisa Claeys; the market gives 60% to Lisa Claeys (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Cayetana Gay is 6-0-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Lisa Claeys 6-0-4 over its own.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cayetana Gay 1509 · Lisa Claeys 1534
| Cayetana Gay | Lisa Claeys | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Note: Lisa Claeys makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Cayetana Gay | Lisa Claeys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.6 | 10.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 58% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cayetana Gay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Lucia Natal W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Carolyn Ansari W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Valentina Losciale W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Madrid |
0-1 | 8-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Nicole Gadient W15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Andrea Burguete Beltran W15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Camila Rodero W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Raquel Caballero Chica W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 29/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp ITF W15 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lisa Claeys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Jessica Bertoldo W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Fabienne Gettwart W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Marie Vogt W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Tilwith Di Girolami W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Milena Ciocan W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Delia Gaillard W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Irina Balus W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Norina Bak Szabo W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/05 | Anna Brunet-Brady W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Zoe Kaegi W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cayetana Gay vs Lisa Claeys?
Our model gives 60% to Lisa Claeys, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.