Tennis · Premier Padel Bordeaux · 02/07, 13:00
Prediction: Stupaczuk/Yanguas vs Chozas/Libaak
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Stupaczuk/Yanguas; the market gives 66% to Stupaczuk/Yanguas (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Stupaczuk/Yanguas is 4-0-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Chozas/Libaak 6-0-4 over its own.
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stupaczuk/Yanguas 1526 · Chozas/Libaak 1523
| Stupaczuk/Yanguas | Chozas/Libaak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Statistics
| Stupaczuk/Yanguas | Chozas/Libaak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.6 | 11.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 65% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.6
Over 21.5: 61% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 39% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stupaczuk/Yanguas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Leal/Guerrero Premier Padel Valladolid |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Gil/Castano Premier Padel Valladolid |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Coello/Tapia Premier Padel Valencia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Di Nenno/Navarro Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Jimenez/Garcia Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Lara/Patiniotis Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Gonzalez Luque/Campagnolo Premier Padel Rome |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Castano/Morales Premier Padel Rome |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 17/05 | Coello/Tapia Premier Padel Buenos Aires |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Jimenez/Garcia Premier Padel Buenos Aires |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Chozas/Libaak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Boronad/Fonteny Premier Padel Bordeaux |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Coello/Tapia Premier Padel Valladolid |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Blasco/Gutierrez Premier Padel Valladolid |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Galan/Chingotto Premier Padel Valencia |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Gonzalez/Abud Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Galan/Chingotto Premier Padel Rome |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Mourino/Quilez Premier Padel Rome |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Rubini/Sanchez Premier Padel Buenos Aires |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Sanz/Nieto Premier Padel Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/05 | Leal/Torre Premier Padel Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stupaczuk/Yanguas vs Chozas/Libaak?
Our model gives 66% to Stupaczuk/Yanguas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.