Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 03/07, 17:30

Prediction: FC Honka (W) vs EBK (W)

Expected goals: 2.98 (FC Honka (W) 1.26 · EBK (W) 1.72). The model gives 28% home, 24% draw, 48% away. Under 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, FC Honka (W) is 7-1-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and EBK (W) 9-0-1 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, FC Honka (W) won 1 and EBK (W) 1.

48%2
28% 24% 48%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Honka (W) 1582 · EBK (W) 1599
FC Honka (W)DrawEBK (W)
Our model27%26%47%
Market29%22%49%
Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals2.98FC Honka (W) 1.26 · EBK (W) 1.72
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Honka (W)EBK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 0.73.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.21.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.42.6 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.2 / 02.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Honka (W) 101 EBK (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/07/26
Finland Cup Women
EBK (W)4-1
HT 1-1
FC Honka (W)
23/07/25
Finland Ykkonen Women
FC Honka (W)3-2
HT 0-0
EBK (W)

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Honka (W)EBK (W)
HJK II (W) 1-0 W 4-0 W
TPS (W) 0-0 D 0-2 L
KTP (W) 1-0 W 4-1 W
ONS (W) 3-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: EBK (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Honka (W)

LWWWWWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 EBK (W)
Finland Cup Women
1-1 1-4 53 L
27/06 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-0 40 W
14/06 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 2-1 50 W
31/05 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-0 91 D
27/05 KTP (W)
Finland Cup Women
1-0 1-0 30 W
23/05 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-0 43 W
17/05 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 3-1 51 W
14/05 HPS II (W)
Finland Cup Women
3-0 5-0 90 W
06/05 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 4-0 63 W
21/04 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-1 41 L

EBK (W)

WWWWWLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Cup Women
1-1 4-1 73 W
27/06 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 3-0 50 W
16/06 EPS (W)
Finland Cup Women
2-0 4-1 70 W
13/06 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 2-0 62 W
05/06 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-2 44 L
31/05 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 4-0 35 W
23/05 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-1 4-1 55 W
17/05 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 3-1 20 W
11/04 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
4-0 6-0 22 W
04/04 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 3-1 143 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Honka (W) vs EBK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an EBK (W) win (48%). Probabilities: FC Honka (W) 28%, draw 24%, EBK (W) 48%.

How many goals are expected in FC Honka (W) vs EBK (W)?

The model expects 2.98 goals (FC Honka (W) 1.26 · EBK (W) 1.72), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Honka (W) vs EBK (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.