Prediction: Boca Juniors (W) vs Lanus (W)

Expected goals: 2.3 (Boca Juniors (W) 1.95 · Lanus (W) 0.35). The model gives 77% home, 17% draw, 6% away. Under 2.75 goals (57%) and not both to score (58%). Most likely score: 2-0.

On recent form, Boca Juniors (W) is 4-2-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Lanus (W) 3-2-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Boca Juniors (W) won 6 and Lanus (W) 0.

77%1
77% 17% 6%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boca Juniors (W) 1508 · Lanus (W) 1484
Boca Juniors (W)DrawLanus (W)
Our model75%20%5%
Market77%16%7%
Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals2.3Boca Juniors (W) 1.95 · Lanus (W) 0.35
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 57%
BTTSNo · 58%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Boca Juniors (W): 6-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Boca Juniors (W)Lanus (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.80.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.20.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.12.1 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.23.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors (W) 600 Lanus (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/09/23
Argentina Championship Women
Lanus (W)0-3
HT 0-1
Boca Juniors (W)
03/06/23
Argentina Championship Women
Lanus (W)0-2
HT 0-1
Boca Juniors (W)
13/05/22
Argentina Championship Women
Lanus (W)0-2
HT 0-0
Boca Juniors (W)
05/09/21
Argentina Championship Women
Lanus (W)2-8
HT 0-3
Boca Juniors (W)
23/04/21
Argentina Championship Women
Boca Juniors (W)6-0
HT 3-0
Lanus (W)
01/12/19
Argentina Championship Women
Lanus (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Boca Juniors (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Racing Club (W) 11821 26726
2 San Lorenzo (W) 11821 22426
3 River Plate (W) 11722 20823
4 CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) 11551 17720
5 Banfield (W) 11614 131319
6 Gimnasia LP (W) 11443 171916
7 Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 11434 10715
8 Boca Juniors (W) 11434 11915
9 Social Atletico Television (W) 11353 141214
10 San Luis FC (W) 11272 121013
11 Belgrano (W) 11344 5713
12 Huracan (W) 11254 51111
13 Lanus (W) 11326 71911
14 CA Independiente Women 11317 81810
15 Newell's Old Boys (W) 11128 3185
16 Union Santa Fe (W) 11029 7282

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBoca Juniors (W)Lanus (W)
San Luis FC (W) 0-0 D 1-1 D
Union Santa Fe (W) 3-0 W 1-0 W
CA Independiente Women 1-0 W 0-1 L
Huracan (W) 0-0 D 0-0 D
River Plate (W) 0-1 L 0-3 L
Belgrano (W) 0-1 L 3-2 W
Banfield (W) 2-1 W 0-2 L
Gimnasia LP (W) 0-1 L 0-3 L
Newell's Old Boys (W) 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Boca Juniors (W) (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boca Juniors (W)

LWLWLLDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 San Luis FC (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-0 73 D
20/06 Union Santa Fe (W)
Argentina Championship Women
2-0 3-0 63 W
15/06 CA Independiente Women
Argentina Championship Women
1-0 1-0 64 W
25/05 Huracan (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-0 93 D
21/05 River Plate (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-1 63 L
16/05 Belgrano (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-1 23 L
03/05 Banfield (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-1 2-1 35 W
25/04 Gimnasia LP (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-1 26 L
29/03 Newell's Old Boys (W)
Argentina Championship Women
2-0 2-1 45 W
20/03 Racing Club (W)
Argentina Championship Women
1-1 2-3 63 L

Lanus (W)

LLLLWDLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Social Atletico Television (W)
Argentina Championship Women
2-0 2-0 71 W
20/06 San Luis FC (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 1-1 14 D
13/06 Union Santa Fe (W)
Argentina Championship Women
1-0 1-0 56 W
23/05 CA Independiente Women
Argentina Championship Women
0-1 0-1 64 L
15/05 Huracan (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-0 10 D
09/05 Belgrano (W)
Argentina Championship Women
2-0 3-2 53 W
04/05 River Plate (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-1 0-3 22 L
25/04 Banfield (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-2 70 L
30/03 Gimnasia LP (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-3 28 L
21/03 Newell's Old Boys (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-1 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors (W) vs Lanus (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boca Juniors (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Boca Juniors (W) 77%, draw 17%, Lanus (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors (W) vs Lanus (W)?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Boca Juniors (W) 1.95 · Lanus (W) 0.35), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Boca Juniors (W) vs Lanus (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.