Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 02/07, 19:00

Prediction: US Yacoub El Mansour vs Difaa El Jadida

Expected goals: 2.34 (US Yacoub El Mansour 1.37 · Difaa El Jadida 0.97). The model gives 45% home, 30% draw, 25% away. Over 2 goals (55%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, US Yacoub El Mansour is 5-1-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Difaa El Jadida 3-5-2 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, US Yacoub El Mansour won 0 and Difaa El Jadida 1.

45%1
45% 30% 25%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Yacoub El Mansour 1502 · Difaa El Jadida 1530
US Yacoub El MansourDrawDifaa El Jadida
Our model45%30%25%
Market45%30%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals2.34US Yacoub El Mansour 1.37 · Difaa El Jadida 0.97
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 55%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US Yacoub El MansourDifaa El Jadida
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.21.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.82.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.23.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · US Yacoub El Mansour 001 Difaa El Jadida

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/26
Morocco GNF 1
Difaa El Jadida2-1
HT 1-1
US Yacoub El Mansour

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MAS Fes 2815103 381755
2 FAR Rabat 2813150 431954
3 RSB Berkane 281495 392651
4 Raja Casablanca 281486 351950
5 WAC Casablanca 2813411 382943
6 Difaa El Jadida 289127 272939
7 FUS Rabat 289910 303436
8 Ittihad Tanger 288128 252936
9 KACM Marrakesh 2881010 262534
10 CODM Meknes 288911 202933
11 HUSA Agadir 288812 263632
12 Renaissance Zemamra 288713 273631
13 Olympique Dcheira 287813 283729
14 US Yacoub El Mansour 286814 314226
15 Union de Touarga 2841311 293925
16 OC Safi 2831213 233921

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUS Yacoub El MansourDifaa El Jadida
MAS Fes 1-2 L 1-2 L
OC Safi 1-0 W 1-1 D
Ittihad Tanger 1-2 L 1-1 D
Union de Touarga 1-2 L 2-1 W
KACM Marrakesh 2-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Yacoub El Mansour

WWLLDLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 MAS Fes
Morocco GNF 1
0-2 1-2 34 L
25/06 Raja Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 2-1 W
21/06 OC Safi
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-0 35 W
18/06 HUSA Agadir
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 2-1 66 W
14/06 Ittihad Tanger
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 1-2 96 L
09/06 CODM Meknes
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-1 54 D
03/06 Renaissance Zemamra
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 1-2 24 L
23/05 Union de Touarga
Morocco GNF 1
1-2 1-2 56 L
17/05 MAS Fes
Morocco Cup
1-0 1-0 15 W
11/05 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 2-1 06 W

Difaa El Jadida

DWDLDDLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-1 37 D
25/06 Union de Touarga
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 2-1 03 W
21/06 WAC Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-0 35 W
17/06 MAS Fes
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-2 25 L
12/06 Olympique Dcheira
Morocco GNF 1
0-2 2-2 52 D
08/06 FUS Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 55 D
04/06 FAR Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-2 54 L
23/05 OC Safi
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-1 63 D
17/05 US Amal Tiznit
Morocco Cup
2-0 3-0 63 W
10/05 Ittihad Tanger
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 1-1 62 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Yacoub El Mansour vs Difaa El Jadida?

According to our model, the most likely result is a US Yacoub El Mansour win (45%). Probabilities: US Yacoub El Mansour 45%, draw 30%, Difaa El Jadida 25%.

How many goals are expected in US Yacoub El Mansour vs Difaa El Jadida?

The model expects 2.34 goals (US Yacoub El Mansour 1.37 · Difaa El Jadida 0.97), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in US Yacoub El Mansour vs Difaa El Jadida?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.