Prediction: Club Oriental vs CA River Plate
Expected goals: 2.92 (Club Oriental 1.53 · CA River Plate 1.39). The model gives 39% home, 28% draw, 33% away. Over 2.25 goals (57%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Club Oriental is 2-5-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and CA River Plate 4-2-4 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Club Oriental won 1 and CA River Plate 0.
| Club Oriental | Draw | CA River Plate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 39% | 29% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Oriental | CA River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 3.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Oriental 1–0–0 CA River Plate
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Uruguay Segunda | CA River Plate | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Club Oriental |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Oriental | CA River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Colon FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Rentistas | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Miramar Misiones | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| La Luz | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Cerrito | 2-2 D | 6-4 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 5 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Oriental (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Oriental
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 01/06 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/05 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 03/05 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
CA River Plate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
5-3 | 6-4 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Oriental vs CA River Plate?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Oriental win (39%). Probabilities: Club Oriental 39%, draw 28%, CA River Plate 33%.
How many goals are expected in Club Oriental vs CA River Plate?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Club Oriental 1.53 · CA River Plate 1.39), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Oriental vs CA River Plate?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.