Football · Chile Cup · 04/07, 22:00

Prediction: San Luis Quillota vs Everton de Vina

Expected goals: 3.11 (San Luis Quillota 1.28 · Everton de Vina 1.83). The model gives 25% home, 26% draw, 49% away. Under 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, San Luis Quillota is 5-2-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Everton de Vina 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, San Luis Quillota won 1 and Everton de Vina 4, with 1 draw.

49%2
25% 26% 49%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Luis Quillota 1526 · Everton de Vina 1507
San Luis QuillotaDrawEverton de Vina
Our model26%25%49%
Market25%26%49%
Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals3.11San Luis Quillota 1.28 · Everton de Vina 1.83
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Everton de Vina: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

San Luis QuillotaEverton de Vina
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.51.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 1.10.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 6.22.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.35.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis Quillota 114 Everton de Vina

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/06/26
Chile Cup
Everton de Vina2-2
HT 2-0
San Luis Quillota
22/03/25
Chile Cup
San Luis Quillota3-2
HT 0-1
Everton de Vina
08/02/25
Chile Cup
Everton de Vina1-0
HT 1-0
San Luis Quillota
20/06/24
Chile Cup
San Luis Quillota0-2
HT 0-2
Everton de Vina
29/11/18
Chile Liga de Primera
San Luis Quillota1-2
HT 0-0
Everton de Vina
03/03/18
Chile Liga de Primera
Everton de Vina2-1
HT 1-0
San Luis Quillota

Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Universidad Catolica 4400 12412
2 Everton de Vina 4112 774
3 Deportes Copiapo 4112 274
4 San Luis Quillota 4022 582

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Luis Quillota

WLWLWWDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Universidad Catolica
Chile Cup
1-2 2-4 75 L
21/06 Everton de Vina
Chile Cup
0-2 2-2 95 D
06/06 San Marcos De Arica
Chile Primera B
1-0 1-0 37 W
30/05 Deportes Recoleta
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-0 71 D
25/05 Magallanes
Chile Primera B
1-1 2-1 115 W
17/05 Puerto Montt
Chile Primera B
2-1 4-1 87 W
10/05 CD Antofagasta
Chile Primera B
0-2 1-3 62 L
05/05 Union San Felipe
Chile Primera B
2-0 4-0 72 W
26/04 Cobreloa
Chile Primera B
1-2 1-3 06 L
20/04 Deportes Iquique
Chile Primera B
1-1 2-1 44 W

Everton de Vina

LWDWWLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 Universidad Catolica
Chile Cup
1-1 1-2 26 L
27/06 Deportes Copiapo
Chile Cup
0-0 3-0 44 W
24/06 Universidad Catolica
Chile Cup
0-3 1-3 39 L
21/06 San Luis Quillota
Chile Cup
2-0 2-2 15 D
13/06 Palestino
Chile Liga de Primera
0-2 1-2 146 L
08/06 Deportes Limache
Chile Copa de la Liga
0-0 1-0 43 W
31/05 O'Higgins
Chile Liga de Primera
2-1 3-2 45 W
22/05 Coquimbo Unido
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 1-1 58 D
18/05 Deportes Concepcion
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 2-0 93 W
11/05 O'Higgins
Chile Copa de la Liga
1-0 1-2 76 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Luis Quillota vs Everton de Vina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Everton de Vina win (49%). Probabilities: San Luis Quillota 25%, draw 26%, Everton de Vina 49%.

How many goals are expected in San Luis Quillota vs Everton de Vina?

The model expects 3.11 goals (San Luis Quillota 1.28 · Everton de Vina 1.83), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in San Luis Quillota vs Everton de Vina?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.