Football · USA NPSL · 02/07, 01:00

Prediction: Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals vs West Chester United

Expected goals: 4.28 (Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 2.07 · West Chester United 2.21). The model gives 37% home, 21% draw, 42% away. Over 4 goals (53%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 2-2.

On recent form, Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals is 6-1-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and West Chester United 6-1-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals won 0 and West Chester United 5, with 1 draw.

42%2
37% 21% 42%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 1556 · West Chester United 1537
Philadelphia Ukrainian NationalsDrawWest Chester United
Our model37%21%42%
Market37%21%42%
Estimated total (ours) 4.28 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals4.28Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 2.07 · West Chester United 2.21
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 53%
BTTSYes · 63%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours West Chester United: 5-1-0.
  • High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Philadelphia Ukrainian NationalsWest Chester United
Goals for / against (FT)3.7 / 1.84.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 12 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 71.7 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 02.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 015 West Chester United

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/06/26
USA NPSL
West Chester United5-4
HT 4-1
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
13/07/25
USA NPSL
West Chester United2-1
HT 1-1
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
19/06/25
USA NPSL
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals1-3
HT 0-1
West Chester United
22/05/25
USA NPSL
West Chester United6-0
HT 1-0
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
18/05/25
USA NPSL
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals2-4
HT 0-2
West Chester United
29/06/24
USA NPSL
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals0-0
HT 0-0
West Chester United

Standings · USA NPSL · Keystone Conference

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Jackson Lions 9711 421522
2 Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 9612 361619
3 West Chester United 8530 441818
4 FC Motown 9513 201316
5 WC Predators 9333 292312
6 New Jersey United AC 10325 242411
7 Players Development Academy 10217 19327
8 Hershey FC 100010 6790

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPhiladelphia Ukrainian NationalsWest Chester United
Hershey FC 9-0 W 10-3 W
FC Motown 3-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals

LWWLWDWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Hershey FC
USA NPSL
6-0 9-0 W
21/06 Players Development Academy
USA NPSL
1-0 3-1 52 W
18/06 West Chester United
USA NPSL
1-4 4-5 107 L
14/06 FC Motown
USA NPSL
0-0 3-1 W
04/06 WC Predators
USA NPSL
1-1 2-2 D
31/05 Hershey FC
USA NPSL
3-0 8-0 W
28/05 Jackson Lions
USA NPSL
1-1 2-4 L
23/05 New Jersey United AC
USA NPSL
2-1 2-1 W
17/05 WC Predators
USA NPSL
1-2 3-2 W
13/07 West Chester United
USA NPSL
1-1 1-2 65 L

West Chester United

WWWWLWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/06 LVU Rush
USA USL League Two
1-2 2-3 22 L
24/06 Ocean City Nor'easters
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-1 L
21/06 FC Motown
USA NPSL
0-0 1-1 27 D
18/06 Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
USA NPSL
4-1 5-4 67 W
17/06 Philadelphia Lone Star FC
USA USL League Two
1-1 3-1 91 W
14/06 Reading United
USA USL League Two
0-2 1-4 L
11/06 Hershey FC
USA NPSL
5-1 10-3 81 W
10/06 Delaware FC
USA USL League Two
2-0 3-1 70 W
04/06 Hershey FC
USA NPSL
5-0 15-0 W
03/06 Reading United
USA USL League Two
2-1 3-1 42 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals vs West Chester United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an West Chester United win (42%). Probabilities: Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 37%, draw 21%, West Chester United 42%.

How many goals are expected in Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals vs West Chester United?

The model expects 4.28 goals (Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 2.07 · West Chester United 2.21), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals vs West Chester United?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.