Prediction: FC LeKi vs FC Haka Juniors
Expected goals: 4.28 (FC LeKi 2.19 · FC Haka Juniors 2.08). The model gives 41% home, 22% draw, 37% away. Over 4 goals (52%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 2-2.
On recent form, FC LeKi is 3-1-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FC Haka Juniors 5-0-5 over its own.
| FC LeKi | Draw | FC Haka Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 21% | 37% |
| Market | 41% | 22% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Haka Juniors (rating 1467 vs 1507).
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC LeKi | FC Haka Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.8 | 2.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.7 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/14/57% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 3.5 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lasten | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Tampere Utd II | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | TPV II | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | NoPS | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 | Ylojarvi United | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
| 6 | FC Haka Juniors | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 15 |
| 7 | Saaksjærven Loiske | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 11 |
| 8 | FC LeKi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 10 |
| 9 | TP-T | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 8 |
| 10 | Fish United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 8 |
| 11 | ACE | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 4 |
| 12 | TP-49 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 1 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC LeKi | FC Haka Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lasten | 1-3 L | 2-5 L |
| TPV II | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Tampere Utd II | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| NoPS | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| TP-49 | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Fish United | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| ACE | 4-5 L | 5-0 W |
| Ylojarvi United | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Saaksjærven Loiske | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 0 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC LeKi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 4-2 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | VPS Vaasa Finland Cup |
1-4 | 1-9 | – | – | L |
| 27/04 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
FC Haka Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/06 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/06 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 02/06 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 28/05 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/05 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 14/05 | TP-T Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 07/05 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 28/04 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC LeKi vs FC Haka Juniors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC LeKi win (41%). Probabilities: FC LeKi 41%, draw 22%, FC Haka Juniors 37%.
How many goals are expected in FC LeKi vs FC Haka Juniors?
The model expects 4.28 goals (FC LeKi 2.19 · FC Haka Juniors 2.08), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in FC LeKi vs FC Haka Juniors?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.