Prediction: ACE vs TP-T
Expected goals: 4.38 (ACE 1.65 · TP-T 2.73). The model gives 21% home, 19% draw, 60% away. Under 4.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-2.
On recent form, ACE is 1-1-8 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and TP-T 2-2-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, ACE won 3 and TP-T 3.
| ACE | Draw | TP-T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 19% | 60% |
| Market | 21% | 19% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ACE | TP-T | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 3.2 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/11/78% | 38/25/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.8 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ACE 3–0–3 TP-T
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/25 Finland Kolmonen | ACE | 3-2 HT 2-0 | TP-T |
| 26/06/25 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 4-1 HT 2-1 | ACE |
| 27/06/24 Finland Kolmonen | ACE | 0-4 HT 0-1 | TP-T |
| 27/07/23 Finland Kolmonen | ACE | 4-1 HT 2-1 | TP-T |
| 20/04/23 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 0-4 HT 0-1 | ACE |
| 18/08/22 Finland Kolmonen | ACE | 0-5 HT 0-2 | TP-T |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lasten | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Tampere Utd II | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | TPV II | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | NoPS | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 | Ylojarvi United | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
| 6 | FC Haka Juniors | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 15 |
| 7 | Saaksjærven Loiske | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 11 |
| 8 | FC LeKi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 10 |
| 9 | TP-T | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 8 |
| 10 | Fish United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 8 |
| 11 | ACE | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 4 |
| 12 | TP-49 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 1 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ACE | TP-T |
|---|---|---|
| Ylojarvi United | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Saaksjærven Loiske | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Haka Juniors | 0-5 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Lasten | 2-6 L | 2-4 L |
| TPV II | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Tampere Utd II | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| NoPS | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| TP-49 | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Fish United | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 8 L | 2 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: TP-T (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ACE
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
2-4 | 2-6 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 20/05 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
4-2 | 5-4 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
TP-T
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/05 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 23/04 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 25/03 | Ylojarvi United Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ACE vs TP-T?
According to our model, the most likely result is an TP-T win (60%). Probabilities: ACE 21%, draw 19%, TP-T 60%.
How many goals are expected in ACE vs TP-T?
The model expects 4.38 goals (ACE 1.65 · TP-T 2.73), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in ACE vs TP-T?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.