Fútbol · China Super League · 4/7, 13:35
Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan
Se esperan 3,87 goles (Beijing Guoan 2,33 · Shandong Taishan 1,54). El modelo da 54% al 1, 22% a la X y 24% al 2. Más de 3,5 goles (51%) y ambos marcan (60%). Marcador más probable: 2-1.
54%1
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Beijing Guoan 1522 · Shandong Taishan 1558
| Beijing Guoan | Empate | Shandong Taishan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| Mercado | 54% | 23% | 23% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.87 goles · línea Bet365 3.5 · +0.4
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. Las apuestas de valor marcan dónde la cuota cubre con margen la probabilidad del modelo (valor).
Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados3,87Beijing Guoan 2,33 · Shandong Taishan 1,54
Más / Menos 3,5Más 3,5 · 51%
Ambos marcanSí · 60%
Total más probable3 goles
Goles 1ª parteMenos 1.5 · 54%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Muchos córners: 11.7 de media combinada.
- Partido de tarjetas: 7.5 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Beijing Guoan | Shandong Taishan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 2.2 / 1.7 | 2.5 / 1.7 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 40/40/20% | 60/10/30% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 7.8 | 1.6 / 3.9 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Beijing Guoan 2–2–2 Shandong Taishan
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 31/08/25 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 6-0 HT 4-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 19/04/25 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 6-1 HT 2-1 | Shandong Taishan |
| 30/06/24 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Shandong Taishan |
| 09/03/24 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 31/08/23 China FA Cup | Beijing Guoan | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Shandong Taishan |
Clasificación · China Super League
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 22 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 26 | 21 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 21 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 24 | 21 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 18 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 17 |
| 9 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 17 |
| 10 | Liaoning Ironman | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 17 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 25 | 16 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 27 | 13 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 8 |
| 16 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 5 |
Rivales en común 4 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Beijing Guoan | Shandong Taishan |
|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Three Towns | 1-0 V | 3-3 E |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 3-2 V | 3-1 V |
| Qingdao West Coast | 1-1 E | 1-1 E |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 4-2 V | 1-4 D |
| Balance vs comunes | 3 V 1 E 0 D | 1 V 2 E 1 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Beijing Guoan (2 de 4 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Beijing Guoan
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/6 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | V |
| 19/6 | Guangdong GZ-Power China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | V |
| 30/5 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | V |
| 23/5 | Henan China Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/5 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | E |
| 15/5 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | V |
| 10/5 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | E |
| 6/5 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | V |
| 2/5 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | E |
| 25/4 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 17 | 3 | D |
Shandong Taishan
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/6 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | V |
| 20/6 | Guangxi Hengchen China FA Cup |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 0 | V |
| 30/5 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 24/5 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | E |
| 20/5 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 16/5 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | V |
| 10/5 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | V |
| 5/5 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | V |
| 1/5 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | E |
| 26/4 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | D |