Prediction: Devonport City vs Riverside Olympic
Expected goals: 3.72 (Devonport City 2.54 · Riverside Olympic 1.18). The model gives 67% home, 17% draw, 16% away. Under 3.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 2-1.
On recent form, Devonport City is 7-1-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Riverside Olympic 5-2-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 6 wins for Devonport City and 0 for Riverside Olympic.
| Devonport City | Draw | Riverside Olympic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| Market | 67% | 16% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Devonport City (rating 1578 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Devonport City: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Devonport City | Riverside Olympic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 3.4 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Devonport City 6–0–0 Riverside Olympic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Riverside Olympic | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Devonport City |
| 20/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Riverside Olympic | 1-5 HT 1-2 | Devonport City |
| 24/05/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Riverside Olympic | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Devonport City |
| 15/03/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Devonport City | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Riverside Olympic |
| 17/08/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Devonport City | 3-0 | Riverside Olympic |
| 22/06/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Devonport City | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Riverside Olympic |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 11 | 35 |
| 2 | Kingborough Lions | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | Devonport City | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 14 | 28 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Riverside Olympic | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 20 |
| 6 | Clarence Zebras FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 20 |
| 7 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 26 | 10 |
| 8 | South East United FC | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 9 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Devonport City | Riverside Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Kingborough Lions | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Clarence Zebras FC | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| Ulverstone | 1-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Launceston City | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Glenorchy Knights FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| South Hobart | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| South East United FC | 4-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Devonport City (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Devonport City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
Riverside Olympic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 20/03 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Devonport City vs Riverside Olympic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Devonport City win (67%). Probabilities: Devonport City 67%, draw 17%, Riverside Olympic 16%.
How many goals are expected in Devonport City vs Riverside Olympic?
The model expects 3.72 goals (Devonport City 2.54 · Riverside Olympic 1.18), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Devonport City vs Riverside Olympic?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.