Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 03/07, 21:15

Prediction: Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs HK Kopavogur

Expected goals: 3.76 (Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1.6 · HK Kopavogur 2.16). The model gives 28% home, 23% draw, 49% away. Under 3.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Grotta Seltjarnarnes is 5-2-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and HK Kopavogur 4-1-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Grotta Seltjarnarnes won 1 and HK Kopavogur 5.

49%2
28% 23% 49%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1510 · HK Kopavogur 1506
Grotta SeltjarnarnesDrawHK Kopavogur
Our model28%22%50%
Market27%24%49%
Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals3.76Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1.6 · HK Kopavogur 2.16
Over / Under 3.75Under 3.75 · 53%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours HK Kopavogur: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Grotta SeltjarnarnesHK Kopavogur
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.91.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.60.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.32.8 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 05.1 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 105 HK Kopavogur

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Iceland 1 Deild
HK Kopavogur4-1
HT 1-1
Grotta Seltjarnarnes
27/07/22
Iceland 1 Deild
HK Kopavogur2-1
HT 1-1
Grotta Seltjarnarnes
24/05/22
Iceland Cup
HK Kopavogur3-1
HT 1-0
Grotta Seltjarnarnes
19/05/22
Iceland 1 Deild
Grotta Seltjarnarnes2-0
HT 0-0
HK Kopavogur
12/03/22
Iceland League Cup
Grotta Seltjarnarnes2-3
HT 1-2
HK Kopavogur
23/06/21
Iceland Cup
HK Kopavogur2-1
HT 1-0
Grotta Seltjarnarnes

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Throttur Reykjavik 11722 251223
2 Afturelding 11713 331822
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 11704 191521
4 IF Vestri 12624 222020
5 HK Kopavogur 11614 201819
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 11533 141218
7 Njardvik 11425 131114
8 Grotta Seltjarnarnes 10415 192413
9 IR Reykjavik 11326 232911
10 Grindavik 10163 9129
11 KF Aegir 12228 13288
12 Volsungur 11146 13247

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGrotta SeltjarnarnesHK Kopavogur
Volsungur 2-2 D 1-0 W
Fylkir Reykjavik 2-5 L 2-0 W
IR Reykjavik 1-2 L 1-3 L
Njardvik 2-1 W 2-0 W
Throttur Reykjavik 3-2 W 0-2 L
IF Vestri 5-3 W 3-4 L
Afturelding 1-3 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 3 L 4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: HK Kopavogur (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grotta Seltjarnarnes

WWLWWWDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 2-2 105 D
21/06 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
2-0 2-5 40 L
17/06 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-2 73 L
13/06 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland Cup
1-0 1-1 69 D
31/05 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 2-1 42 W
27/05 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-2 3-2 62 W
23/05 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 5-3 104 W
18/05 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
0-2 1-3 72 L
14/05 IF Vestri
Iceland Cup
4-0 4-0 34 W
09/05 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 1-0 63 W

HK Kopavogur

LLWLWLWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 2-0 37 W
21/06 Grindavik
Iceland 1 Deild
2-1 2-2 96 D
12/06 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-2 87 L
05/06 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 2-1 85 W
31/05 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-3 1-4 99 L
27/05 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-0 123 W
22/05 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-3 55 L
18/05 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 2-0 22 W
13/05 Vikingur Reykjavik
Iceland Cup
0-0 0-2 45 L
09/05 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
1-2 3-4 106 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs HK Kopavogur?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HK Kopavogur win (49%). Probabilities: Grotta Seltjarnarnes 28%, draw 23%, HK Kopavogur 49%.

How many goals are expected in Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs HK Kopavogur?

The model expects 3.76 goals (Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1.6 · HK Kopavogur 2.16), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs HK Kopavogur?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.