Prediction: IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding
Expected goals: 4.1 (IR Reykjavik 1.74 · Afturelding 2.36). The model gives 27% home, 23% draw, 50% away. Over 3.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-2.
On recent form, IR Reykjavik is 2-2-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Afturelding 8-0-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, IR Reykjavik won 3 and Afturelding 2, with 1 draw.
| IR Reykjavik | Draw | Afturelding | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| Market | 26% | 24% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Afturelding (rating 1454 vs 1581).
- H2H favours IR Reykjavik: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 14.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IR Reykjavik | Afturelding | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.5 | 3.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 7.2 | 2.9 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IR Reykjavik 3–1–2 Afturelding
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Afturelding | 4-7 HT 1-4 | IR Reykjavik |
| 29/03/26 Iceland Cup | IR Reykjavik | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Afturelding |
| 21/02/25 Iceland League Cup | IR Reykjavik | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Afturelding |
| 14/09/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Afturelding | 3-0 HT 2-0 | IR Reykjavik |
| 04/07/24 Iceland 1 Deild | IR Reykjavik | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Afturelding |
| 28/05/14 Iceland Cup | Afturelding | 1-1 HT 1-0 | IR Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Throttur Reykjavik | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 23 |
| 2 | Afturelding | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | IF Vestri | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 20 |
| 5 | HK Kopavogur | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Njardvik | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| 8 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 24 | 13 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 11 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 11 | KF Aegir | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 8 |
| 12 | Volsungur | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IR Reykjavik | Afturelding |
|---|---|---|
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Njardvik | 1-5 L | 2-0 W |
| IF Vestri | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| KF Aegir | 1-4 L | 8-1 W |
| HK Kopavogur | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 1-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Grindavik | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Throttur Reykjavik | 1-3 L | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Afturelding (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IR Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 21/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
3-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 18/05 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 01/05 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
Afturelding
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 8-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/06 | Stjarnan Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 05/06 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
3-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 18/05 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Njardvik Iceland Cup |
1-0 | 5-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Afturelding win (50%). Probabilities: IR Reykjavik 27%, draw 23%, Afturelding 50%.
How many goals are expected in IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?
The model expects 4.1 goals (IR Reykjavik 1.74 · Afturelding 2.36), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.