Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 04/07, 18:00

Prediction: Leiknir Reykjavik vs Volsungur

Expected goals: 3.08 (Leiknir Reykjavik 2.09 · Volsungur 0.99). The model gives 62% home, 22% draw, 16% away. Under 3.5 goals (57%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Leiknir Reykjavik is 5-2-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Volsungur 1-3-6 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Leiknir Reykjavik won 2 and Volsungur 0, with 1 draw.

62%1
62% 22% 16%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leiknir Reykjavik 1535 · Volsungur 1428
Leiknir ReykjavikDrawVolsungur
Our model62%22%16%
Market62%21%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals3.08Leiknir Reykjavik 2.09 · Volsungur 0.99
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 57%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leiknir Reykjavik (rating 1535 vs 1428).
  • H2H favours Leiknir Reykjavik: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Leiknir ReykjavikVolsungur
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.11.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.21.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.23.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leiknir Reykjavik 210 Volsungur

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Iceland 1 Deild
Volsungur1-1
HT 0-1
Leiknir Reykjavik
17/08/25
Iceland 1 Deild
Volsungur1-2
HT 0-1
Leiknir Reykjavik
09/06/25
Iceland 1 Deild
Leiknir Reykjavik3-1
HT 0-0
Volsungur

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Throttur Reykjavik 11722 251223
2 Afturelding 11713 331822
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 11704 191521
4 IF Vestri 12624 222020
5 HK Kopavogur 11614 201819
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 11533 141218
7 Njardvik 11425 131114
8 Grotta Seltjarnarnes 10415 192413
9 IR Reykjavik 11326 232911
10 Grindavik 10163 9129
11 KF Aegir 12228 13288
12 Volsungur 11146 13247

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLeiknir ReykjavikVolsungur
IR Reykjavik 2-1 W 4-4 D
Njardvik 0-1 L 2-1 W
IF Vestri 1-0 W 1-5 L
KF Aegir 3-0 W 2-3 L
HK Kopavogur 4-1 W 0-1 L
Fylkir Reykjavik 0-3 L 0-1 L
Grindavik 0-0 D 1-3 L
Throttur Reykjavik 1-1 D 0-3 L
Afturelding 0-3 L 0-0 D
Grotta Seltjarnarnes 2-1 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 5 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 3 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Leiknir Reykjavik (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leiknir Reykjavik

WLDDLWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 2-1 169 W
19/06 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-1 81 L
13/06 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-0 46 W
05/06 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 3-0 53 W
31/05 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
3-0 4-1 59 W
27/05 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-3 25 L
22/05 Grindavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 D
18/05 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-1 44 D
08/05 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-3 24 L
01/05 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 2-1 15 W

Volsungur

DLLLLLLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 2-2 35 D
21/06 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-3 4-4 44 D
13/06 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 2-1 64 W
06/06 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 1-5 43 L
31/05 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
0-2 2-3 113 L
27/05 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-1 33 L
23/05 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-1 13 L
17/05 Grindavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 1-3 103 L
09/05 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-3 0-3 27 L
01/05 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 51 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leiknir Reykjavik vs Volsungur?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leiknir Reykjavik win (62%). Probabilities: Leiknir Reykjavik 62%, draw 22%, Volsungur 16%.

How many goals are expected in Leiknir Reykjavik vs Volsungur?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Leiknir Reykjavik 2.09 · Volsungur 0.99), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Leiknir Reykjavik vs Volsungur?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.