Fútbol · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 3/7, 12:00
Nepean FC vs Mounties Wanderers
Se esperan 4,15 goles (Nepean FC 1,15 · Mounties Wanderers 3,01). El modelo da 11% al 1, 15% a la X y 74% al 2. Menos de 4 goles (51%) y ambos marcan (58%). Marcador más probable: 1-3.
74%2
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Nepean FC 1462 · Mounties Wanderers 1591
| Nepean FC | Empate | Mounties Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| Mercado | 11% | 14% | 75% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
4.15 goles · línea Bet365 4 · +0.2
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. Las apuestas de valor marcan dónde la cuota cubre con margen la probabilidad del modelo (valor).
Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados4,15Nepean FC 1,15 · Mounties Wanderers 3,01
Más / Menos 4Menos 4 · 51%
Ambos marcanSí · 58%
Total más probable4 goles
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 55%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Mounties Wanderers (rating 1462 vs 1591).
- Partido de tarjetas: 7.1 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Nepean FC | Mounties Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.7 / 2 | 3.2 / 0.8 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 10/40/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.9 | 2 / 6.4 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Nepean FC 1–3–1 Mounties Wanderers
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Mounties Wanderers | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Nepean FC |
| 06/09/24 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Nepean FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mounties Wanderers |
| 31/08/24 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Mounties Wanderers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nepean FC |
| 09/09/23 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Mounties Wanderers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nepean FC |
| 01/09/23 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Nepean FC | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Mounties Wanderers |
Clasificación · Australia New South Wales League 2
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mounties Wanderers | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 64 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 33 |
| 3 | Hawkesbury City SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 43 | 30 |
| 4 | Fraser Park | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 30 |
| 5 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 30 |
| 6 | Central Coast United FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 29 |
| 7 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 29 |
| 8 | Western Rage | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 45 | 28 |
| 9 | Sydney University | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 27 |
| 10 | Nepean FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 41 | 27 |
| 11 | Gladesville Ryde Magic | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 46 | 25 |
| 12 | South Coast Flame FC | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 24 |
| 13 | Inner West Hawks | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 22 |
| 14 | Bankstown United FC | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 20 |
| 15 | Camden Tigers SC | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 54 | 9 |
Rivales en común 8 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Nepean FC | Mounties Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Parramatta Eagles | 1-3 D | 6-0 V |
| Dunbar Rovers FC | 0-2 D | 1-1 E |
| Inner West Hawks | 2-2 E | 1-0 V |
| South Coast Flame FC | 4-1 V | 1-1 E |
| Western Rage | 2-1 V | 4-1 V |
| Central Coast United FC | 0-3 D | 1-2 D |
| Hawkesbury City SC | 3-3 E | 4-0 V |
| Sydney University | 0-1 D | 3-2 V |
| Balance vs comunes | 2 V 2 E 4 D | 5 V 2 E 1 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Mounties Wanderers (7 de 8 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Nepean FC
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/6 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | D |
| 20/6 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 12/6 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | D |
| 6/6 | Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | V |
| 29/5 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | E |
| 22/5 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | V |
| 16/5 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | V |
| 8/5 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 2/5 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 3-3 | – | – | E |
| 24/4 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
Mounties Wanderers
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/6 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | E |
| 19/6 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 2 | V |
| 12/6 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | V |
| 5/6 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 30/5 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | V |
| 22/5 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | V |
| 17/5 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | E |
| 8/5 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | V |
| 1/5 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | V |
| 10/4 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 3-2 | – | – | V |