Prediction: Inner West Hawks vs Camden Tigers SC

Expected goals: 3.22 (Inner West Hawks 1.8 · Camden Tigers SC 1.42). The model gives 46% home, 24% draw, 30% away. Under 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Inner West Hawks with 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; Camden Tigers SC has piled up 0-3-7 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Inner West Hawks and 1 for Camden Tigers SC, with 1 draw.

46%1
46% 24% 30%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inner West Hawks 1429 · Camden Tigers SC 1412
Inner West HawksDrawCamden Tigers SC
Our model46%25%30%
Market47%22%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.22Inner West Hawks 1.8 · Camden Tigers SC 1.42
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Inner West Hawks: 3-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inner West HawksCamden Tigers SC
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.81.3 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.6 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.92.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.13.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inner West Hawks 311 Camden Tigers SC

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Australia New South Wales League 2
Camden Tigers SC2-1
HT 2-0
Inner West Hawks
26/07/25
Australia New South Wales League 2
Inner West Hawks2-1
HT 0-1
Camden Tigers SC
12/04/25
Australia New South Wales League 2
Camden Tigers SC1-1
HT 1-1
Inner West Hawks
17/08/24
Australia New South Wales League 2
Inner West Hawks3-0
HT 0-0
Camden Tigers SC
28/05/24
Australia New South Wales League 2
Camden Tigers SC0-2
HT 0-1
Inner West Hawks

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Mounties Wanderers 191522 641947
2 Parramatta Eagles 191036 432733
3 Hawkesbury City SC 19937 384330
4 Fraser Park 20866 322230
5 Dunbar Rovers FC 20938 342930
6 Central Coast United FC 19856 323029
7 Bonnyrigg White Eagles 19928 363529
8 Western Rage 19847 394528
9 Sydney University 20839 262827
10 Nepean FC 20839 334127
11 Gladesville Ryde Magic 208111 344625
12 South Coast Flame FC 19667 262724
13 Inner West Hawks 206410 293422
14 Bankstown United FC 19559 243820
15 Camden Tigers SC 201613 28549

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentInner West HawksCamden Tigers SC
Hawkesbury City SC 0-2 L 3-5 L
Gladesville Ryde Magic 0-2 L 1-4 L
Western Rage 1-2 L 2-3 L
Bankstown United FC 1-0 W 3-3 D
Central Coast United FC 1-2 L 1-4 L
Bonnyrigg White Eagles 2-4 L 1-2 L
Dunbar Rovers FC 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 6 L 0 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Inner West Hawks (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inner West Hawks

LLLLWDLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Hawkesbury City SC
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-0 0-2 L
19/06 Sydney University
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-2 2-2 78 D
13/06 Gladesville Ryde Magic
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-1 0-2 L
06/06 Western Rage
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-0 1-2 55 L
29/05 Nepean FC
Australia New South Wales League 2
2-1 2-2 42 D
23/05 Bankstown United FC
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-0 1-0 02 W
15/05 Central Coast United FC
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-0 1-2 26 L
09/05 Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Australia New South Wales League 2
1-1 2-4 23 L
01/05 Mounties Wanderers
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-0 0-1 36 L
18/04 Dunbar Rovers FC
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-0 0-1 86 L

Camden Tigers SC

LLLLLLLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 South Coast Flame FC
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-0 1-1 D
20/06 Dunbar Rovers FC
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-0 1-1 D
13/06 Bankstown United FC
Australia New South Wales League 2
2-2 3-3 D
06/06 Gladesville Ryde Magic
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-3 1-4 53 L
30/05 Central Coast United FC
Australia New South Wales League 2
1-2 1-4 L
22/05 Fraser Park
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-1 0-2 27 L
16/05 Parramatta Eagles
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-2 0-5 61 L
09/05 Western Rage
Australia New South Wales League 2
1-2 2-3 L
25/04 Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Australia New South Wales League 2
0-0 1-2 L
17/04 Hawkesbury City SC
Australia New South Wales League 2
2-2 3-5 62 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inner West Hawks vs Camden Tigers SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inner West Hawks win (46%). Probabilities: Inner West Hawks 46%, draw 24%, Camden Tigers SC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Inner West Hawks vs Camden Tigers SC?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Inner West Hawks 1.8 · Camden Tigers SC 1.42), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Inner West Hawks vs Camden Tigers SC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.