Fútbol · Republic of Ireland First Division · 3/7, 20:45
Finn Harps vs Wexford FC
Se esperan 2,61 goles (Finn Harps 0,95 · Wexford FC 1,66). El modelo da 21% al 1, 26% a la X y 53% al 2. Menos de 2,5 goles (51%) y ambos marcan (52%). Marcador más probable: 1-1.
53%2
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Finn Harps 1425 · Wexford FC 1485
| Finn Harps | Empate | Wexford FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 21% | 27% | 53% |
| Mercado | 21% | 25% | 53% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
2.61 goles · línea Bet365 2.5
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. Las apuestas de valor marcan dónde la cuota cubre con margen la probabilidad del modelo (valor).
Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados2,61Finn Harps 0,95 · Wexford FC 1,66
Más / Menos 2,5Menos 2,5 · 51%
Ambos marcanSí · 52%
Total más probable2 goles
Goles 1ª parteMenos 1.5 · 70%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Wexford FC (rating 1425 vs 1485).
- Historial directo a favor de Wexford FC: 3-3-0.
- Partido de tarjetas: 10.8 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Finn Harps | Wexford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 0.8 / 2.3 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 20/40/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 2.9 / 4.4 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Finn Harps 0–3–3 Wexford FC
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Wexford FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Finn Harps |
| 06/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Wexford FC |
| 22/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Wexford FC |
| 01/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Wexford FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Finn Harps |
| 13/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Wexford FC |
| 11/04/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Wexford FC | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Finn Harps |
Clasificación · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 11 | 51 |
| 2 | UCD | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 31 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 31 |
| 5 | Wexford FC | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 27 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 25 |
| 7 | Longford Town | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 25 |
| 8 | Athlone Town | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 24 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 37 | 19 |
| 10 | Treaty United FC | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 33 | 17 |
Rivales en común 8 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Finn Harps | Wexford FC |
|---|---|---|
| Athlone Town | 1-1 E | 2-2 E |
| Cobh Ramblers | 1-3 D | 2-0 V |
| UCD | 0-5 D | 2-1 V |
| Cork City | 0-4 D | 0-2 D |
| Longford Town | 2-2 E | 1-2 D |
| Treaty United FC | 0-3 D | 0-0 E |
| Kerry FC | 1-0 V | 1-2 D |
| Bray Wanderers | 2-1 V | 0-4 D |
| Balance vs comunes | 2 V 2 E 4 D | 2 V 2 E 4 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Wexford FC (4 de 8 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Finn Harps
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/6 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 12 | E |
| 19/6 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 12/6 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/5 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/5 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | E |
| 15/5 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 8/5 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | V |
| 4/5 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | V |
| 1/5 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/4 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
Wexford FC
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/6 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | E |
| 19/6 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | E |
| 12/6 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 29/5 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 22/5 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | V |
| 15/5 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 8/5 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 4/5 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 1/5 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | V |
| 24/4 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | V |