Tennis · M25 Marburg · 01/07, 10:00
Matteo Covato vs Justin Schlageter
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Justin Schlageter; the market gives 74% to Justin Schlageter (odds 1.11).
74%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Covato 1411 · Justin Schlageter 1498
| Matteo Covato | Justin Schlageter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Justin Schlageter (rating 1411 vs 1498).
- Justin Schlageter dominates on serve: 6 aces and 60.7% break avg.
- Justin Schlageter is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Justin Schlageter makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Matteo Covato | Justin Schlageter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.6-12.2 | 11.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 54.4% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 18.4% | 60.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Covato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Noah Karma M25 Klosters |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Ceska Lipa |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Richard Antoni M15 Rosbach |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Dylan Salton M15 Gaborone |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Stefan Storch M15 Gaborone |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Herbert Jody Maginley Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/04 | Enzo Lima Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/03 | Tibo Colson Challenger San Luis Potosi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Justin Schlageter
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Noah Karma M25 Klosters |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Klosters |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 02/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Rosbach |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/05 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Troisdorf |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Troisdorf |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Alec Deckers M25 Troisdorf |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/05 | Sammy Guinau M25 Troisdorf |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/11 | Andrej Nedic M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 19/11 | Tim Handel M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |