Tennis · M15 Tokyo · 01/07, 03:00
Naoki Nakagawa vs Ryota Tanuma
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Ryota Tanuma; the market gives 50% to Naoki Nakagawa (odds 1.61).
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naoki Nakagawa 1506 · Ryota Tanuma 1568
| Naoki Nakagawa | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryota Tanuma (rating 1506 vs 1568).
- Head-to-head: Naoki Nakagawa 3–0 Ryota Tanuma (3).
Statistics
| Naoki Nakagawa | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.5 | 10.6-7.9 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 79.1% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Naoki Nakagawa 3 – 0 Ryota Tanuma (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naoki Nakagawa 3–0 Ryota Tanuma
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/10/25 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/11/22 Challenger Matsuyama | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naoki Nakagawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Colin Sinclair M15 Tokyo |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Tokyo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tokyo |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/03 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Miyazaki · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tsukuba · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/03 | Emile Hudd M15 Nishi-Tokyo |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/03 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Nishi-Tokyo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/03 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Nishi-Tokyo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ryota Tanuma
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Ren Nakamura M15 Tokyo |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Asahi Harazaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Karuizawa |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |