Tennis · W100 Cary · 30/06, 18:00
Yuki Naito vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Yuki Naito; the market gives 54% to Yuki Naito (odds 2.10).
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1588 · Lucrezia Stefanini 1471
| Yuki Naito | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuki Naito (rating 1588 vs 1471).
- Yuki Naito is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Yuki Naito 1–0 Lucrezia Stefanini (1).
- Note: Yuki Naito makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Yuki Naito | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.1 | 8.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 5 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 49.2% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Yuki Naito 1 – 0 Lucrezia Stefanini (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuki Naito 1–0 Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/19 ITF W25 Klosters | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Naito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Aishi Das W35 Taipei |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Mio Mushika W35 Taipei |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Thasaporn Naklo W35 Taipei |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ayano Shimizu W35 Taipei |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Valentina Ryser W100 Takasaki |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Momoko Kobori W100 Takasaki |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/05 | Raluca Georgiana Serban W100 Takasaki |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Eri Shimizu W100 Takasaki |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Hina Inoue W100 Takasaki |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/05 | Sakura Hosogi W100 Takasaki |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Katarzyna Kawa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Luisina Giovannini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Lucia Bronzetti French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Alina Charaeva French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/05 | Polona Hercog W75 Zagreb |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/05 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |