Tennis · M25 Ajaccio · 30/06, 15:00
Robin Catry vs Mikail Alimli
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Mikail Alimli; the market gives 53% to Robin Catry (odds 1.50).
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robin Catry 1468 · Mikail Alimli 1535
| Robin Catry | Mikail Alimli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mikail Alimli (rating 1468 vs 1535).
- Robin Catry dominates on serve: 6 aces and 40.8% break avg.
- Mikail Alimli dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 45.8% break avg.
- Note: Robin Catry makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Robin Catry | Mikail Alimli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12.4 | 11.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 6 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 81.8% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robin Catry
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Mert Alkaya M25 Porto |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Lourinha |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Daniil Ostapenkov M15 Kutaisi |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M15 Kutaisi |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 26/05 | Luciano Barbarino M15 Kutaisi |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Kevin Edengren M25 Kutaisi |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Evgeny Karlovskiy M25 Kutaisi |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/04 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Angers |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/04 | Karl Poling Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/04 | Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Mikail Alimli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Riccardo Ciulli M25 Ajaccio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/05 | Lucas Bouquet UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/05 | Marwan Haida-Lamrani UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/05 | Botond Nagy UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/05 | Tomas Rengel Sierra UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Filip Malis UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/03 | Remy Dugardin M25 Saint Dizier |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 22/03 | Baptiste Arzur M25 Saint Dizier |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/02 | Leo Lagarrigue M15 Lannion |
0-1 | 9-12 | L |