Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 01/07, 12:00
Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Coco Gauff; the market gives 72% to Coco Gauff (odds 1.17).
72%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Solana Sierra 1512 · Coco Gauff 1590
| Solana Sierra | Coco Gauff | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coco Gauff (rating 1512 vs 1590).
- Head-to-head: Solana Sierra 0–2 Coco Gauff (2).
- Note: Solana Sierra makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Solana Sierra | Coco Gauff | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12 | 13.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.2
Over 20.5: 65% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 35% · 1.80
H2H · Solana Sierra 0 – 2 Coco Gauff (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Solana Sierra 0–2 Coco Gauff
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 WTA Rome | 1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 03/01/26 United Cup Women | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Solana Sierra
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Anna Bondar Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Anna Blinkova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Ella Seidel WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Caty McNally WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lois Boisson WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/05 | Sorana Cirstea French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Jasmine Paolini French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/05 | Emma Raducanu French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Coco Gauff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Tamara Korpatsch Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Paula Badosa WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Anastasia Potapova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Mayar Sherif French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Taylor Townsend French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/05 | Elina Svitolina WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/05 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/05 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/05 | Iva Jovic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/05 | Solana Sierra WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |