Tennis · Wimbledon · 01/07, 12:00
Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zheng
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Nicolas Mejia; the market gives 63% to Michael Zheng (odds 1.28).
63%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Mejia 1557 · Michael Zheng 1548
| Nicolas Mejia | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Nicolas Mejia dominates on serve: 7 aces and 45.3% break avg.
- Michael Zheng dominates on serve: 13.2 aces and 54.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Nicolas Mejia | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 83% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.8-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12.2 | 15.7-13.2 |
| Aces | 7 | 13.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -12.2
Over 38.5: 2% · 1.83
Under 38.5: 98% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Mejia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-21 | W |
| 25/06 | Tristan Schoolkate Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Gustavo Heide Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Henrique Rocha Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Justin Boulais Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Henry Searle Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/05 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Michael Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Cameron Norrie Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 31-25 | W |
| 25/06 | Colton Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Laslo Djere Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Henri Squire Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/05 | Dino Prizmic French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Stefano Travaglia French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/05 | Antoine Ghibaudo French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |