Tennis · Wimbledon · 01/07, 12:00
Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Daniil Medvedev; the market gives 75% to Daniil Medvedev (odds 1.02).
75%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Merida Aguilar 1530 · Daniil Medvedev 1535
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | Daniil Medvedev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Note: Daniil Medvedev makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | Daniil Medvedev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.7-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12 | 14.2-12.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 33.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 29.5 · -5.5
Over 29.5: 17% · 1.72
Under 29.5: 83% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Martin Damm ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Liam Broady Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Ben Shelton French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 13/05 | Aleksandar Kovacevic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 05/05 | Tomas Barrios Vera ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/05 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Daniil Medvedev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Marin Cilic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Terence Atmane ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Marin Cilic ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Thijs Boogaard ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/05 | Adam Walton French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 19-20 | L |
| 16/05 | Jannik Sinner ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Martin Landaluce ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |