Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 01/07, 12:00
Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Jelena Ostapenko; the market gives 69% to Jelena Ostapenko (odds 1.25).
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jelena Ostapenko 1586 · Antonia Ruzic 1521
| Jelena Ostapenko | Antonia Ruzic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jelena Ostapenko (rating 1586 vs 1521).
- Note: Jelena Ostapenko makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Jelena Ostapenko | Antonia Ruzic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 100% (4) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.2 | 12.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.4
Over 21.5: 66% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 34% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jelena Ostapenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Harriet Dart Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Panna Udvardy WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Francesca Jones WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/05 | Magda Linette French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 25/05 | Ella Seidel French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/05 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/05 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Antonia Ruzic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Darja Semenistaja Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Caty McNally WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 13/06 | Kaja Juvan WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Iva Jovic WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Storm Hunter WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/06 | Aoi Ito WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Madison Keys French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Ashlyn Krueger French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |