Tennis · Challenger Quito · 30/06, 17:00
Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Peter Bertran
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Juan Sebastian Osorio; the market gives 52% to Juan Sebastian Osorio (odds 2.10).
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Sebastian Osorio 1580 · Peter Bertran 1495
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | Peter Bertran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Sebastian Osorio (rating 1580 vs 1495).
- Juan Sebastian Osorio is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Juan Sebastian Osorio 0–3 Peter Bertran (3).
- Note: Peter Bertran makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | Peter Bertran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.2 | 9.8-11 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 68% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 47% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 53% · 1.80
H2H · Juan Sebastian Osorio 0 – 3 Peter Bertran (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Sebastian Osorio 0–3 Peter Bertran
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/24 M15 Huamantla | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/11/23 ITF M15 Santo Domingo | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/11/23 ITF M15 Santo Domingo | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Sebastian Osorio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Alejandro Hayen Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Felipe Vazquez M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/06 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 03/05 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios M15 Quito |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/05 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Quito |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/05 | Ryan Dickerson M15 Quito |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 30/04 | Frazier Rengifo M15 Quito |
1-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 28/04 | Nicolas Hollender M15 Quito |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/04 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Quito |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Peter Bertran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03 | Matias Soto Challenger Bucaramanga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/03 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez Challenger Bucaramanga · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/03 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Cap Cana · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Nick Hardt M15 San Jose |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/02 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 San Jose |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/02 | Jerry Roddick M25 San Jose |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 17/02 | Billy Suarez M25 San Jose |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 26/11 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/11 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |