Tennis · Challenger Quito · 30/06, 19:20
Lucas Andrade da Silva vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Lucas Andrade da Silva; the market gives 53% to Lucas Andrade da Silva (odds 2.25).
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Andrade da Silva 1585 · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1463
| Lucas Andrade da Silva | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Andrade da Silva (rating 1585 vs 1463).
- Lucas Andrade da Silva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Lucas Andrade da Silva makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Lucas Andrade da Silva | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.9 | 10.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.8
Over 22.5: 44% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 56% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Andrade da Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Jorge Ruiz Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Romain Gales ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Kacper Szymkowiak ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/07 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida ITF M25 Sao Paulo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Igor Gimenez ITF M25 Sao Paulo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Fermin Tenti Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 27/03 | Jaime Faria Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/03 | Victor Braga Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/03 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/03 | Benjamin Torrealba Challenger Santiago · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/03 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Brasilia · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/02 | Lautaro Midon ATP Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/02 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Rosario · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/01 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Concepcion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |