Tennis · Wimbledon · 01/07, 12:00
Jannik Sinner vs Nuno Borges
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Jannik Sinner; the market gives 81% to Jannik Sinner (odds 1.03).
81%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jannik Sinner 1639 · Nuno Borges 1525
| Jannik Sinner | Nuno Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jannik Sinner (rating 1639 vs 1525).
- Jannik Sinner dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 53.4% break avg.
- Jannik Sinner is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jannik Sinner 1–0 Nuno Borges (1).
Statistics
| Jannik Sinner | Nuno Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 89% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.2-0.6 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-9.7 | 13.8-11.9 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 79.6% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 31.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 30.5 · -6.5
Over 30.5: 13% · 1.83
Under 30.5: 87% · 1.83
H2H · Jannik Sinner 1 – 0 Nuno Borges (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jannik Sinner 1–0 Nuno Borges
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/22 ATP Sofia | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jannik Sinner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-21 | W |
| 28/05 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 26/05 | Clement Tabur French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 17/05 | Casper Ruud ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/05 | Andrey Rublev ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/05 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/05 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/05 | Alexander Zverev ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Nuno Borges
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Luciano Darderi ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Marin Cilic ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/06 | Terence Atmane ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Andrey Rublev French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 17-21 | L |
| 27/05 | Miomir Kecmanovic French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 21-11 | W |