Tennis · Wimbledon · 01/07, 12:00
Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Ofner
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Sebastian Ofner; the market gives 59% to Hubert Hurkacz (odds 1.30).
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hubert Hurkacz 1503 · Sebastian Ofner 1556
| Hubert Hurkacz | Sebastian Ofner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Ofner (rating 1503 vs 1556).
- Sebastian Ofner dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 42.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Hubert Hurkacz 2–0 Sebastian Ofner (2).
Statistics
| Hubert Hurkacz | Sebastian Ofner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.4 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.7-15.5 | 12.8-12.6 |
| Aces | 14.8 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3 · Bet365 line 42.5 · -16.2
Over 42.5: 1% · 1.83
Under 42.5: 99% · 1.83
H2H · Hubert Hurkacz 2 – 0 Sebastian Ofner (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hubert Hurkacz 2–0 Sebastian Ofner
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/25 ATP Geneva | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/05/16 ITF Czech Republic F2 | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hubert Hurkacz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Casper Ruud Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Andrey Rublev ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Frances Tiafoe French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 28-31 | L |
| 25/05 | Jaume Munar French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 06/05 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 03/05 | Matteo Arnaldi Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/05 | Matteo Berrettini Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Sebastian Ofner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Hamad Medjedovic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 23-21 | W |
| 20/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Laslo Djere Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 18/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Luciano Darderi French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 16/05 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Jannik Sinner ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Alex Michelsen ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |