Tennis · M25 Rabat · 30/06, 12:00
Francesco Ferrari vs Alexander Chepik
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Alexander Chepik; the market gives 68% to Francesco Ferrari (odds 1.07).
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Ferrari 1502 · Alexander Chepik 1544
| Francesco Ferrari | Alexander Chepik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Chepik (rating 1502 vs 1544).
- Note: Alexander Chepik makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Francesco Ferrari | Alexander Chepik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.2 | 11.3-11 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 61% |
| Break % | 36% | 25% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Ferrari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Ghali Komat M25 Rabat |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Reda Bennani M25 Tanger |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Caheer Warik M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 04/06 | Denis Klok M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Peetu Pohjola M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Andreas Messis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Kasra Rahmani M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/05 | Jan Werblinski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
| 04/05 | Leonardo Iemmi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Alexander Chepik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Ricard Rodolfo Garavi Yepez M25 Rabat |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 16/05 | Cheng En Yu UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Radu Ioan Popa UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/05 | Tarun Karra UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 12/05 | Lohithaksha Bathrinath UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Minhthien Nguyen UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/05 | Jacob K Shen UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/05 | Alexander Paszkiewicz UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/05 | Minh Phat Nguyen UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/05 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |