Tennis · M15 Monastir · 30/06, 11:00

Andrea Bacaloni vs Josh Manuel

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Andrea Bacaloni; the market gives 70% to Andrea Bacaloni (odds 1.17).

70%1
70% 30%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andrea Bacaloni 1472 · Josh Manuel 1411
Andrea BacaloniJosh Manuel
Our model59%41%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Bacaloni (rating 1472 vs 1411).
  • Andrea Bacaloni is in better form: 40% recent wins.

Statistics

Andrea BacaloniJosh Manuel
Win %40%10%
Win % · Hard 33% (6) 14% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.30.4-1.8
Games (G-P)8.7-9.47.9-11.8
Aces0.7
Double faults2.8
1st serve %66.3%
Break %44.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andrea Bacaloni

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/06 Filip Poklemba
M15 Szentendre
2-0 12-2 W
30/03 Noah Perfetti
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 10-12 L
18/03 Leonardo Primucci
M15 Foggia
0-2 5-12 L
17/03 Cristian Campese
M15 Foggia
2-1 11-7 W
10/03 Lars Goran Verwerft
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
05/03 Milos Karol
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
04/03 Amine Jamji
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/03 Matic Dimic
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-9 W
25/11 Kacper Szymkowiak
ITF M25 Luanda · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/11 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
ITF M25 Luanda · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Josh Manuel

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/04 Lars Wagenaar
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
14/04 Tom Sickenberger
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
13/04 Steffan Van Weldam
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
05/04 Vitek Horak
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
1-2 12-14 L
04/04 Maximilian Borisov
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
02/04 Felix Romeo
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
01/04 Julio Cesar Porras
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
31/03 Guilherme Valdoleiros
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
30/03 Marshall Tutu
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/03 Cian McDonnell
UTR Pro Trnava · Hard
0-2 4-12 L