Tennis · Challenger Milan · 30/06, 13:00
Michele Ribecai vs Daniele Rapagnetta
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Daniele Rapagnetta; the market gives 66% to Michele Ribecai (odds 1.17).
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Ribecai 1498 · Daniele Rapagnetta 1507
| Michele Ribecai | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Michele Ribecai 2–1 Daniele Rapagnetta (3).
Statistics
| Michele Ribecai | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12.2 | 12.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Michele Ribecai 2 – 1 Daniele Rapagnetta (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michele Ribecai 2–1 Daniele Rapagnetta
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/25 M25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/09/25 M25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09/25 ITF M15 Bologna | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Ribecai
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/05 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Daniele Rapagnetta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Caltanissetta |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/05 | Mika Brunold Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |