Tennis · M15 Amstelveen · 01/07, 10:00
Lars Wagenaar vs Abel Forger
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Abel Forger; the market gives 71% to Abel Forger (odds 1.13).
71%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lars Wagenaar 1515 · Abel Forger 1558
| Lars Wagenaar | Abel Forger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Abel Forger (rating 1515 vs 1558).
- Note: Lars Wagenaar makes many double faults (9.5/match).
Statistics
| Lars Wagenaar | Abel Forger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.4 | 12.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 9.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 75.5% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lars Wagenaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Alkmaar |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Timo De Visser M15 Alkmaar |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 24/05 | Alexandre Verlaguet UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/05 | Timo De Visser UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/05 | Andras Necz UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Marcel Zielinski UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Alexander Glomb UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Piet Steveker UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/04 | Amadatus Admiraal UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/04 | Steffan Van Weldam UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Abel Forger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Gyula |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 16/06 | Bercel Sandor Takacs M15 Gyula |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/11 | Yaroslav Demin ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/11 | Cyril Vandermeersch ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/11 | Gabriele Bosio ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/11 | Benjamin Winter Lopez ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/11 | Pavel Lagutin ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/11 | Maximilian Borisov ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/11 | Jack Loge M25 Vale do Lobo |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/11 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Vale do Lobo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |