Tennis · Challenger Brasov · 30/06, 09:30
Luka Pavlovic vs Akira Santillan
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Luka Pavlovic; the market gives 57% to Luka Pavlovic (odds 1.50).
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Pavlovic 1495 · Akira Santillan 1488
| Luka Pavlovic | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Luka Pavlovic dominates on serve: 16.1 aces and 41.9% break avg.
- Note: Akira Santillan makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Luka Pavlovic | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.5 | 10.7-12 |
| Aces | 16.1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Pavlovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Mark Lajal Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 22/05 | Darwin Blanch French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Tomas Barrios Vera French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Harry Wendelken French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 11/05 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Akira Santillan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Marko Bekeni Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Devin Badenhorst Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Yunseong Chung M15 Andong |
1-1 | 13-12 | W |