Tennis · M15 Tokyo · 30/06, 04:30
Ryota Tanuma vs Ren Nakamura
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 71% to Ryota Tanuma; the market gives 80% to Ryota Tanuma (odds 1.06).
80%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryota Tanuma 1587 · Ren Nakamura 1435
| Ryota Tanuma | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryota Tanuma (rating 1587 vs 1435).
- Ryota Tanuma is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ryota Tanuma | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.6 | 7.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Asahi Harazaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Karuizawa |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/05 | Hanyi Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Ren Nakamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Villahermosa |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras M15 Villahermosa |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/04 | Drew Van Orderlain M25 Xalapa |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/03 | Scott Jones M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/03 | Petar Jovic M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/03 | Joshua Charlton M15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/03 | James Beaven M25 Faro |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/02 | Rohan Mehra M25 Vale do Lobo |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/11 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |