Tennis · Wimbledon · 01/07, 12:00
Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tien
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 71% to Learner Tien; the market gives 68% to Learner Tien (odds 1.44).
68%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marton Fucsovics 1420 · Learner Tien 1575
| Marton Fucsovics | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Learner Tien (rating 1420 vs 1575).
- Learner Tien dominates on serve: 6 aces and 51.5% break avg.
- Learner Tien is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Marton Fucsovics makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Learner Tien makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Marton Fucsovics | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.8 | 2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-14.4 | 17-14.3 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 6 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 19% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.3 · Bet365 line 37.5 · -12.2
Over 37.5: 2% · 1.83
Under 37.5: 98% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marton Fucsovics
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 25/05 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 15-25 | L |
| 07/05 | Dino Prizmic ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/04 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/03 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/03 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/03 | Arthur Fils ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Learner Tien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 15/06 | Max Schoenhaus ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Facundo Diaz Acosta French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 27-26 | W |
| 26/05 | Cristian Garin French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 20-8 | W |
| 23/05 | Mariano Navone ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/05 | Alexander Bublik ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/05 | Alex Michelsen ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/05 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |