Tennis · Challenger Milan · 30/06, 10:00
Francisco Comesana vs Matthew William Donald
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Matthew William Donald; the market gives 66% to Francisco Comesana (odds 1.14).
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Comesana 1514 · Matthew William Donald 1533
| Francisco Comesana | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Note: Matthew William Donald makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Francisco Comesana | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15-14.8 | 11-9.2 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 34.5% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Comesana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 30-31 | L |
| 28/05 | Luciano Darderi French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 25-26 | W |
| 26/05 | Ethan Quinn French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 20-16 | W |
| 20/05 | Jaume Munar ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Valentin Royer ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 17/05 | Max Hans Rehberg ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/05 | Henry Bernet ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Pablo Carreno Busta Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Matthew William Donald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/06 | Luca Potenza Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 25/06 | Manuel Plunger M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Francesco Forti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Manuel Plunger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/05 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |