Tennis · Challenger Milan · 30/06, 10:00
Mathys Erhard vs Jurij Rodionov
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Jurij Rodionov; the market gives 61% to Jurij Rodionov (odds 1.36).
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Erhard 1533 · Jurij Rodionov 1545
| Mathys Erhard | Jurij Rodionov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Jurij Rodionov dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 41% break avg.
Statistics
| Mathys Erhard | Jurij Rodionov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-11.5 | 11.5-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 74% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Erhard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Jacopo Bilardo Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/05 | Martin Krumich Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Jurij Rodionov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Remy Bertola Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Oliver Crawford Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Colton Smith Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Luca Castelnuovo ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Arthur Rinderknech French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |