Tennis · M25 Figueira da Foz · 29/06, 15:00
Sebastian Dominko vs Daniel Lara Salmeron
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Sebastian Dominko; the market gives 78% to Sebastian Dominko (odds 1.07).
78%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Dominko 1571 · Daniel Lara Salmeron 1453
| Sebastian Dominko | Daniel Lara Salmeron | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Dominko (rating 1571 vs 1453).
- Sebastian Dominko dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 43.5% break avg.
- Sebastian Dominko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Daniel Lara Salmeron makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Sebastian Dominko | Daniel Lara Salmeron | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.8 | 7.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 79.9% | 57% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Dominko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02 | Mert Alkaya Davis Cup |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/01 | Perry Gregg UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 10/01 | Poonthong Komopisut UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/01 | Noah Becker UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/01 | Luis Llorens Saracho UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/01 | Alexander Antonopoulos UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Ozan Baris ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/10 | Sebastian Eriksson ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Daniel Lara Salmeron
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05 | Robin Catry M15 Kutaisi |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 27/05 | Kirill Mishkin M15 Kutaisi |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Yauheni Bursau M15 Kutaisi |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/04 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Adria Velazquez Farre M15 Torello |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/12 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/12 | Sergio Planella Hernandez ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 26/11 | Leonid Sheyngezikht ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 02/09 | Carles Cordoba ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Gian Luca Tanner ITF M25 Oviedo · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |