Tennis · M15 Umag · 29/06, 16:00
Maxwell Castle vs Lorenzo Ferri
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Lorenzo Ferri; the market gives 71% to Lorenzo Ferri (odds 1.13).
71%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxwell Castle 1443 · Lorenzo Ferri 1493
| Maxwell Castle | Lorenzo Ferri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Ferri (rating 1443 vs 1493).
Statistics
| Maxwell Castle | Lorenzo Ferri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-12.8 | 9.5-9.9 |
| Aces | – | 1.5 |
| Double faults | – | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | – | 58% |
| Break % | – | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxwell Castle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Carl Holder UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Karel Froemel UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Dominik Simunovic UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Facundo Yunis UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Dominik Matic UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 26/03 | Lorenzo Favero UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 25/03 | Gergely Madarasz UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Tim Handel UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 23/03 | Louis Gorregues UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/02 | Moksh Puri UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Lorenzo Ferri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Markus Molder M15 Rzeszow |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jakub Hrynkiewicz M15 Rzeszow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Jonathan Mridha M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Sander Juuhl Sivertsen M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 04/05 | Gabriele Volpi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/04 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Filippo Moroni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 27/04 | Filippo Pecorini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |