Tennis · Challenger Cary · 29/06, 16:00
Justin Boulais vs Jay Friend
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Justin Boulais; the market gives 52% to Jay Friend (odds 1.53).
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Boulais 1595 · Jay Friend 1534
| Justin Boulais | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Justin Boulais (rating 1595 vs 1534).
- Head-to-head: Justin Boulais 1–0 Jay Friend (1).
Statistics
| Justin Boulais | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.5 | 13.2-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Justin Boulais 1 – 0 Jay Friend (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Justin Boulais 1–0 Jay Friend
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Challenger Little Rock | 2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Boulais
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Tulsa |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Wichita |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Jay Friend Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/05 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Loule |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Jay Friend
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Charlie Camus Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/05 | Justin Boulais Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 29/05 | Fajing Sun Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Henry Searle Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Karl Poling Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/03 | Marcos Giron Challenger Phoenix · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 11/03 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Phoenix · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/03 | Leandro Riedi Challenger Phoenix · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |