Tennis · Challenger Milan · 29/06, 11:10
Fausto Tabacco vs Daniele Rapagnetta
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Fausto Tabacco; the market gives 68% to Fausto Tabacco (odds 1.33).
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fausto Tabacco 1585 · Daniele Rapagnetta 1481
| Fausto Tabacco | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fausto Tabacco (rating 1585 vs 1481).
- Fausto Tabacco is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Fausto Tabacco 0–1 Daniele Rapagnetta (1).
- Note: Fausto Tabacco makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Fausto Tabacco | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.6 | 11.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Fausto Tabacco 0 – 1 Daniele Rapagnetta (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fausto Tabacco 0–1 Daniele Rapagnetta
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/24 M25 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fausto Tabacco
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Federico Iannaccone M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Leonardo Malgaroli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Petr Nesterov M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Daniele Rapagnetta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Caltanissetta |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/05 | Mika Brunold Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/04 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |