Tennis · Challenger Brasov · 29/06, 12:00
Ilia Simakin vs Maxime Janvier
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Maxime Janvier; the market gives 50% to Ilia Simakin (odds 1.53).
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilia Simakin 1422 · Maxime Janvier 1508
| Ilia Simakin | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxime Janvier (rating 1422 vs 1508).
- Maxime Janvier is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Maxime Janvier makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Ilia Simakin | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 14% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-13.8 | 11.6-11.8 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 69% |
| Break % | 25.9% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilia Simakin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 01/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Liam Draxl French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Tunis · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/04 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Alex Bolt Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/04 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Busan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Maxime Janvier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/06 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Arjun Kadhe Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Julian Alonso M25 Mataro |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Tim Handel M25 Mataro |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/04 | Robin Bertrand M25 Angers |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |