Tennis · Challenger Milan · 30/06, 10:00
Niels McDonald vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niels McDonald 1611 · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 1511
| Niels McDonald | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niels McDonald (rating 1611 vs 1511).
- Niels McDonald is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Niels McDonald | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-9.2 | 11.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 48.9% |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niels McDonald
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Aristotelis Thanos M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Anton Shepp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Kai Wehnelt M15 Rosbach |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Rosbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Niccolo Catini Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Caltanissetta |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Adam Lynch M25 Caltanissetta |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Jacopo Borsoi M25 Caltanissetta |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |