Tennis · WTA Bad Homburg · 27/06, 11:00
Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karolina Muchova 1519 · Naomi Osaka 1580
| Karolina Muchova | Naomi Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naomi Osaka (rating 1519 vs 1580).
- Head-to-head: Karolina Muchova 2–3 Naomi Osaka (5).
Statistics
| Karolina Muchova | Naomi Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.8 | 11.6-8.5 |
| Aces | 3 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 51.8% |
H2H · Karolina Muchova 2 – 3 Naomi Osaka (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karolina Muchova 2–3 Naomi Osaka
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/25 US Open Women | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/01/25 Australian Open Women | 1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/08/24 US Open Women | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/05/21 WTA Madrid | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08/20 WTA New York | 1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karolina Muchova
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Madison Keys WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Jil Teichmann French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Kamilla Rakhimova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/05 | Anastasia Zakharova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/05 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Elena Rybakina WTA Stuttgart · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Naomi Osaka
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Iva Jovic French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 28/05 | Donna Vekic French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Laura Siegemund French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Iga Swiatek WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Diana Shnaider WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |