Tennis · Wimbledon · 01/07, 12:00
Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Busta
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denis Shapovalov 1441 · Pablo Carreno Busta 1549
| Denis Shapovalov | Pablo Carreno Busta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pablo Carreno Busta (rating 1441 vs 1549).
- Pablo Carreno Busta is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Denis Shapovalov 2–6 Pablo Carreno Busta (8).
- Note: Denis Shapovalov makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Denis Shapovalov | Pablo Carreno Busta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.6-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-13.8 | 13.4-13.9 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 40.6% |
H2H · Denis Shapovalov 2 – 6 Pablo Carreno Busta (8)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Denis Shapovalov 2–6 Pablo Carreno Busta
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 ATP Dubai | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/11/22 ATP Paris | 1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 09/01/22 ATP Cup | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09/20 US Open | 2-3 | 27-23 | L |
| 23/10/19 ATP Vienna | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09/19 ATP Chengdu | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/05/19 ATP Rome | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09/17 US Open | 0-3 | 18-21 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denis Shapovalov
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Marin Cilic ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Jaime Faria French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 07/05 | Mariano Navone ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Alex Molcan ATP Munich · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Munich · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/04 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Munich · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/04 | Alexander Blockx ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Pablo Carreno Busta
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Rafael Jodar French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 17-26 | L |
| 29/05 | Thiago Agustin Tirante French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 23-21 | W |
| 25/05 | Jiri Lehecka French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 14/05 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 12/05 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/05 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Martin Damm ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/04 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/03 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Alicante · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |