Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 29/06, 14:00
Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jelena Ostapenko 1560 · Harriet Dart 1442
| Jelena Ostapenko | Harriet Dart | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jelena Ostapenko (rating 1560 vs 1442).
- Harriet Dart dominates on serve: 10.5 aces and 46.9% break avg.
- Jelena Ostapenko is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jelena Ostapenko 1–0 Harriet Dart (1).
- Note: Jelena Ostapenko makes many double faults (5.9/match).
- Note: Harriet Dart makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Jelena Ostapenko | Harriet Dart | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8 | 11.5-13.3 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 10.5 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 46.9% |
H2H · Jelena Ostapenko 1 – 0 Harriet Dart (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jelena Ostapenko 1–0 Harriet Dart
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/23 WTA Eastbourne | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jelena Ostapenko
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Panna Udvardy WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Francesca Jones WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/05 | Magda Linette French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 25/05 | Ella Seidel French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/05 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/05 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/05 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Harriet Dart
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Hannah Klugman WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Yue Yuan French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/04 | Taylah Preston W100 Gifu |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/04 | Nao Hibino W100 Gifu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/04 | Taylah Preston W100 Tokyo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |

