Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 29/06, 16:30
Aryna Sabalenka vs Teodora Kostovic
77%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aryna Sabalenka 1572 · Teodora Kostovic 1516
| Aryna Sabalenka | Teodora Kostovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 93% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aryna Sabalenka (rating 1572 vs 1516).
- Teodora Kostovic dominates on serve: 9.9 aces and 65.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Aryna Sabalenka | Teodora Kostovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.4 | 11.3-10 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 9.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 65.7% |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Jessica Pegula WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 19/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Diana Shnaider French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Naomi Osaka French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/05 | Daria Kasatkina French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Elsa Jacquemot French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/05 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Teodora Kostovic
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Lin Zhu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Rebecca Sramkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Yeon Woo Ku Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Ipek Oz W100 Zagreb |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/06 | Simona Waltert WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Laura Samsonova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Julie Struplova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Kaitlin Quevedo French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Elizabeth Mandlik French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |