🎾 Tennis · M15 Bergamo · 25/06, 10:00
Federico Arnaboldi vs Giorgio Tabacco
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Arnaboldi 1500 · Giorgio Tabacco 1528
| Federico Arnaboldi | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
💎 ValueGiorgio Tabacco · +6.7%The model gives this bet 6.7% more probability than its odds (2.38) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Head-to-head: Federico Arnaboldi 4–0 Giorgio Tabacco (4).
- Note: Federico Arnaboldi makes many double faults (4.1/match).
🎾 Statistics
| Federico Arnaboldi | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.8 | 11.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 41.5% |
H2H · Federico Arnaboldi 4 – 0 Giorgio Tabacco (4)
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Federico Arnaboldi 4–0 Giorgio Tabacco
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/26 Challenger Cervia | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09/23 M25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09/22 M25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08/21 ITF M25 Bolzano | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Federico Arnaboldi
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Bergamo |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Petr Nesterov M25 Milano |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Milano |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/05 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/05 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Jay Clarke Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Matteo Arnaldi Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Giorgio Tabacco
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Flynn Thomas M15 Bergamo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Marcello Serafini M25 Milano |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Raffaele Ciurnelli M25 Milano |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Messina |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Messina |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Caltanissetta |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Jay Clarke M25 Caltanissetta |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/06 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Caltanissetta |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |